In CERC
This summer's Windsor decision
from the Supreme Court overturned the Defense of Marriage Act, but it
did not declare a constitutional right to gay marriage. Yet even
Maggie Gallagher, the country's most tireless and high-profile opponent
of same-sex marriage, now believes such an outcome is a foregone conclusion.
"It's
clear that the courts are going to shut down the marriage debate and
impose gay marriage uniformly," she says. "There is not yet a unified
sense of where we go from here, except for this: there is an
accelerating awareness that the consequence of marriage equality is
going to be extremely negative for traditionalist Christians."
Interviews
with legal scholars, activists, and other social and religious
conservatives involved in the fight against same-sex marriage confirm
this grim outlook. In the courts, and in the court of public opinion,
the momentum towards same-sex marriage has been clear. A consensus is
emerging on the right that the most important goal at this stage is not
to stop gay marriage entirely but to secure as much liberty as
possible for dissenting religious and social conservatives while there
is still time.
To
do so requires waking conservatives up to what may happen to them and
their religious institutions if current trends continue — and Catholic
bishops, say, come to be regarded as latter-day Bull Connors.
Will
religious conservatives be seen as no better than racist bullies in
the emerging settlement? Despite what you haven't heard — the news
media's silence on religious liberty threats from same-sex marriage is
deafening — this is not slippery-slope alarmism. The threat is real.
Robin
Fretwell Wilson is a University of Illinois law professor and
religious liberty expert. Though she takes no position on same-sex
marriage, Wilson argues that religious freedom is enormously important
in this fight.
"Everybody
knows that [church] sanctuaries are going to be out of the reach of
same-sex marriage laws," she says. "The whole fight is over
religiously affiliated organizations and individuals who are in
government employment or out in commerce."
Religious
schools and charities could suffer penalties such as the loss of
government funding or state credentials necessary to operate. They
could also have their tax-exempt status taken from them.
The latter actually happened to a group of New Jersey Methodists in the 2007 Ocean Grove case.
That state court decision held that the New Jersey government was
permitted to withdraw a special tax exemption, tied to public access,
from a church-owned pavilion that declined to host two gay commitment
ceremonies. What happened next, says Wilson, set an ominous precedent.
"The local taxing authority then removed the local exemption for ad valorem taxes
for the pavilion, and then billed them for back taxes," she says.
"That tax benefit is one of the most substantial benefits religious
groups receive from the government. Although the group had elected a
local tax status tied to public access, if state and local governments
use this as a guide for how to deal with religious organizations that
don't accept same-sex marriage, that could be a big deal."
Individual
religious believers also stand to lose their jobs or have their
businesses take to court. Christian florists, photographers, and
bakers have already been sued or punished under nondiscrimination law
for refusing to provide wedding or commitment-ceremony services to gay
couples. State courts in New Mexico have upheld a $6,000 fine levied
against a wedding photographer who declined to shoot a
lesbian commitment ceremony. Civil litigation underway in Colorado pits
a gay couple against two Christian pastry chefs who refused to bake a
cake to celebrate a wedding the pair held in Massachusetts.
In
these cases, state nondiscrimination laws did not carve out religious
liberty exceptions. Though many observers focus only on Supreme Court
rulings, Wilson says instances like these highlight the importance of
marriage battles in state legislatures.
"When
same-sex marriage gets dropped out of the sky, it doesn't drop onto a
blank slate, but into the existing substrate of state
anti-discrimination laws," she explains.
This
belies the claim by marriage-equality activists that same-sex marriage
is merely a simple expansion of marriage rights and that no one who
opposes it will suffer undue hardship.
But
if gay activists understate the threat same-sex marriage poses to
religious freedom, chicken-little traditionalists sometimes overstate
their vulnerability.
Wilson
points out that the courts have expressed support for what they deem
reasonable accommodation of religious belief, even when that belief
clashes with civil rights claims.
"The
idea that this is all of a sudden some newfangled thing where we're
having to think through for the very first time how religious
organizations are having to deal with civil rights norms is just not
true," says Wilson.
Wilson
and others engaged in this debate have suggested detailed legislative
remedies attempting to balance gay rights and religious liberty for the
common good. She concedes, however, that the 1960s civil rights
template is of limited use in thinking through religious liberty
vis-à-vis homosexual rights. Those laws were written in a time
in which no one could have imagined them being used to question the
gender structure of marriage.
Until now, the debate has focused on the question, "What is marriage?" But henceforth it is coalescing around the question, "What is homosexuality?" Or, to be more specific: is homosexuality the same thing as race? The future of religious freedom depends on how the courts, and the country, answer that question.
To
gay marriage supporters, homosexuality is, like race, a morally
neutral condition. Opponents disagree, believing that because
homosexuality, like heterosexuality, has to do with behavior, it cannot
be separated from moral reflection. As Gallagher put it in a 2010
paper in Northwestern University's law journal, "Skin color does not
give rise to a morality."
The
problem for traditionalists is that the sexual revolution taught
Americans to think of sexual desire as fundamental to one's identity.
If this is true, then aside from extreme exceptions (e.g., pedophilia),
stigmatizing desire, like stigmatizing race, denies a person's full
humanity. To do so would be an act of blind animosity.
Though
she appealed in that same law journal paper to the magnanimity of gay
rights supporters, Gallagher acknowledged that their confidence that
homosexuality is no different from race would make compromise morally
indecent. Americans, she wrote, "do not draft legislative
accommodations for irrational hatred."
This
is largely why the Supreme Court majority struck down DOMA: the 5-4
majority saw it as motivated only by an unconstitutional desire to
stigmatize and injure homosexuals. Though Chief Justice John Roberts's
dissent highlighted the majority's explicit endorsement of the right
of states to define marriage, Justice Antonin Scalia warned that this
was only because his anti-DOMA colleagues didn't think they could get
away with going further — for now.
That's
why some leading traditional-marriage activists insist that the
movement must continue to press arguments on the marriage question
itself, even as religious liberty takes center stage in their political
and policy strategizing.
The
Heritage Foundation's Ryan T.Anderson is one of the top theoreticians
of the traditional-marriage movement. Anderson has become a
high-profile advocate of applying natural law thinking to the marriage
debate. His view, in short, is that traditional marriage recognizes
anthropological truths about human nature and therefore is critical to
building stable societies in which to rear children. Accepting
same-sex marriage, he says, requires a philosophical shift that erodes
the solid ground on which traditional marriage stands.
"The
other side's lead talking point is that opposing gay marriage is the
same as racial bigotry," he says. "If this goes unresponded to, it
will be no surprise if a majority of Americans eventually decide that
they're right. We're not there yet, but if that happens, the religious
liberty protections we are able to lock in now will be very fragile."
Both
Congress and the Supreme Court are sensitive to political reality.
Anderson says the court's refusal to constitutionalize gay marriage in
its two rulings this term indicates that the justices are not willing
to get out too far ahead of the country on this issue.
"Justice
Scalia's dissent said it's just a matter of time until the other shoe
drops," Anderson says. "If it looks like the pro-marriage people have
given up, the Supreme Court will be more likely to move quickly in
usurping authority from citizens and redefining marriage for the entire
country. If Congress thinks we've surrendered, they will conclude
that there's no point in extending religious liberty to bigots."
In
Washington, a prominent religious conservative lobbyist sees Democrats
increasingly energized around advancing gay rights, and Republicans
"scared of the entire issue."
"They'll
talk about these things behind closed doors and wonder where they are
leading, but it's only a small group that's prepared to do anything
about it right now," says Russell Moore, the new head of the Southern
Baptist Convention's Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission.
Moore,
a 42-year-old pastor and theologian, has drawn favorable notice for
taking a nuanced approach to culture-war issues. He sees his task as
not only communicating grassroots Evangelical concerns to political
elites but also helping grassroots Evangelicals understand how
radically circumstances have changed.
"The
problem is that Evangelicals have taken a God-and-country, Moral
Majority stance for so long, one that assumes the rest of the culture
shares our values, and that it's only small groups of elites out there
who are out of step," Moore says.
"I
tell them you have to understand the mindset of the other side," he
continues. "They see this as the equivalent of the civil rights
movement. If the Christian definition of marriage becomes the
equivalent of KKK ideology, then religious liberty will be very hard to
defend."
This is why both the Windsor ruling and the 2003 Lawrence v. Texas
ruling that overturned anti-sodomy laws portend so much ill for
marriage traditionalists. Twice in the last decade, the Supreme Court
found that laws restricting gay rights were based entirely on animus
and served no rational purpose. If the justices apply this reasoning
to the core of marriage law, religious conservatives may well find
little asylum outside the walls of their churches.
Hence
the urgency of marriage activists on religious liberty. Though
same-sex marriage is almost certainly the wave of the future, the
country isn't there yet. In states where marriage equality is still
under contention, traditionalists could take advantage of this divide
to negotiate a settlement that both sides can live with — one that
protects both religious institutions and religious individuals. Time
is on the gay-rights side, but its more pragmatic leaders may be
persuaded that achieving basic marriage equality now is worth granting
substantial protections to religious dissenters.
This is hard to do in a culture where religious conservatives are increasingly demonized for their beliefs about homosexuality. And not just religious conservatives. In August, Dartmouth withdrew its job offer to African Anglican bishop hired to run a campus spirituality and ethics center because of his past opposition to gay rights. Though Bishop James Tengatenga, a widely respected and effective advocate for peace and reconciliation in his native Malawi, had since evolved into a gay-supporting liberal Anglican, the fact that he hadn't always been one cost him his job.
Granted,
a New Hampshire liberal arts college is not America. But stories like
this help vindicate the hardline view of Princeton's Robert George
that there is "no chance of persuading [gay-marriage proponents] that
they should respect, or permit the law to respect, the conscience
rights of those with whom they disagree."
Equal
Employment Opportunity Commission chairman and gay-rights advocate
Chai Feldblum agrees with George. The former Georgetown law professor
has written sympathetically about religious concerns, but he concludes
that the clash between gay rights and religious liberty is a "zero-sum"
affair. People who don't see that are fooling themselves, she
contends.
So, with the front in the gay-marriage culture war shifting to religious liberty, where do traditionalists stand?
George
writes that they have to win this battle entirely or be crushed
everywhere, as segregationists were, and for the same reason: their
views will be deemed too abhorrent to be tolerated. On this view,
preserving religious liberty cannot be separated from preserving
traditional marriage.
Wilson,
a religious-liberty scholar, believes that there is room for
compromise at the state level to protect religious liberty, and there
are good prudential reasons for both sides to do so — but time is
running out for the faithful to make deals in state legislatures.
Anderson,
the think-tank philosopher, contends that the battle over the meaning
of marriage is increasingly difficult but can be won. In any case, he
says, it must be waged to prevent an eventual rout for religious
liberty.
And
Gallagher, the activist, no longer believes winning — that is,
stopping gay marriage — is possible but insists, like Anderson, that
conservatives cannot afford to surrender and accept their opponents'
judgment of them as bigots and haters.
"Refusing
despair is a powerful political weapon. If we don't keep fighting, we
are not going to be tolerated," says Gallagher. In Windsor's wake, she is working to build legal and political institutions to help traditionalists endure coming hardships.
"The question we have to face is this: did the Supreme Court give us Roe v. Wade, or Brown v. Board?" she says. "If it's Roe, we lose, but our views of marriage will still be respectable. But if we let it be Brown, we're in big trouble."